|
|
 |
|
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
| |
|
|
| |
| |
Outlook |
|
| |
| |
Global economy keeps up dynamic growth
For 2005, the global economy is expected to grow by a good 4
percent. Compared to growth of 5 percent in 2004 the global
economy will loose some of its momentum, but still experience
above average growth. As before, positive incentives will be provided by the United
States and the Asian threshold countries. The IMF is expecting
3.5 percent growth in the USA, and 7.5 percent in China. Due
to falling export demand, the eurozone will lag behind the
global economic trend, but still continue with a slight
upswing. According to forecasts issued by the European
Central Bank (ECB), economic growth of 1.9 percent is
possible here.
In Germany, this will depend on whether the domestic
demand is going to bolster the export-based bull market.
The export impetus might slow down, due to the decreasing
intensity of international growth. Against this background,
the OECD predicts a 1.4 percent increase for the German
economy.
|
|
| |
Positive prognosis for the IT market
According to calculations by the market research institute
Forrester Research, the global IT market will increase by 6
percent annually until 2008. IDC market researchers also forecast
such growth for 2005. Above-average growth is expected for the
regions of central and Eastern Europe, and the up-and-coming
Asian states. According to a study by the market research
institute Global Insight, the Eastern European market will
expand by 11.9 percent annually, and the Chinese market by
9.3 percent until 2007
The USA continues to offer good prospects, and for Western
Europe, IDC forecasts a slight increase. According to EITO's
calculations, the Western European IT market will boom in
2005 by 4.2 percent. For Germany, EITO is predicting 4.1
percent growth. The federal association Bitkom expects a
5.5 percent increase for software and IT services. Therefore,
the IT sector would develop better in 2005 than the overall
economy.
Software in particular demand
Integration remains the key issue in the IT world. The
progressive use of networking between companies and
related business processes will drive the demand for
software and IT services. The linkage of individual
applications, together with efficient access to existing
information, still tops the list of priorities. There is
a growing demand for flexible software, tailored to
reflect each customer's unique situations, which is
capable of adapting to individual business and user
requirements.
|
|
Forecasts expect strongly growing IT market |
|
| |
Profitable growth to be expected
For 2005, Software AG is aiming for sales growth of 4 to
6 percent. In the medium term, two-digit sales growth is
possible. This is assuming that increasing revenues from
XML integration solutions will add to the stable revenue i
n the mainframe sector. Our focus still lies on profitable
growth. We are planning for consistently high margins and,
for 2005, expect an operating free cash flow of roughly
2 Euros per share.
The focus of the ETS business segment still lies on
consolidating our broad customer base. At the same time,
we intend to benefit from the opportunities offered by
integrating and modernizing the lucrative Cobol market. In
XML Business Integration, we see great potential for
industry solutions. We will further develop our go-to-market
model, primarily in the direction of business value
selling, and addressing decision makers.
Focus on emerging markets
We expect additional incentives from direct entry into new
sales territories, especially in the newly industrialized
countries. In realizing geographic growth potential, we
have adopted a dual approach: Presence through owned
subsidiaries as well as partners. For this, we see
potential in China, Eastern Europe, Russia, and most
of all in South America.
Additional strength through partners
We will supplement our own growth through alliances and
acquisitions. However, our goal is not primarily the
purchase of additional revenue. We rather intend to
generate technological components which will enhance
and further develop our product portfolio. This implies
that we will restrict ourselves to purchases of a
reasonable size, which also helps to ensure seamless
integration.
|
|
Integration business yields increasing contributions |
|
| |
| |
|
|
| |
|
|